中国国家主席习近平在北京会晤美国总统川普

美中贸易纠纷升温之际,有经济学家指出,美中贸易战是本世纪全球地缘政治争夺战的一部分,绝不仅仅局限于经济范畴,因此很难单独解决。

雅虎财经新闻26日说,越来越多的经济学家警告说,美中贸易纠纷已经和地缘政治融为一体,很难与美中争执的其它层面分割。美国保卫民主基金会(Foundation for Defense of Democracies)资深研究员汉纳(John Hannah)说,“单独处理贸易战是错误的。不管美国喜不喜欢,与中国的经济竞争已经成为21世纪全球争霸的更大地缘政治斗争的一个关键战场”。

报道说,美中争霸的热点已经在很多地区已经开始涌现:在全球范围内封杀华为技术;南中国海的领土纠纷;中国在朝鲜去核问题上发挥的作用以及北京提出的“一带一路”倡议计划等。因此,美中双方都无法单独放弃贸易纠纷。前总统奥巴马的国家安全顾问、黑石投资学社(BlackRock Investment Institute)主席多尼龙(Thomas E. Donilon)指出,“两国间的紧张关系正在不断扩大,现已包含经济、军事和意识形态等方面”,“我们看到这些紧张关系是结构性的,而且会延续很久”。

美国保卫民主基金会的汉纳因此认为,“华盛顿早该对建立在盗窃、间谍、胁迫和大规模国家补贴基础上的中国经济帝国实施反击”。

报道指出,美中贸易战开打不到一个月,经济学家就警告说,贸易战会产生全球性的影响。随着贸易纠纷的升温,全球股市受到波及,美国跨国公司的股票价格滑坡,原油价格受创。已经有迹象显示,贸易战导致进口价格升高,美中两国的消费者都将成为主要的受害者。

美国银行美林证券(Bank of America-Merrill Lynch)的经济学家警告说,“(美中)紧张关系的升温可能会严重影响股市。这些经济学家近期提醒客户说,“要掌握的最重要的一点,就是贸易战是否仅仅是关于贸易,还是我们正在经历我们一生中最重要的地缘政治冲突的最初回合”。

信息来源美国之音

编辑:MO FO

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